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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hovers around $29.50 after rebounding from three-week lows

  • Silver price rebounds from a three-week low of $29.11 recorded on Friday.
  • Non-yielding Silver struggled as the probability of a Fed rate cut in September decreased compared to the previous week.
  • Rabobank suggested that the Fed may cut rates in September and December, more likely because of a deteriorating economy.

Silver price recovers the previous session's losses, trading around $29.50 per troy ounce during Monday's Asian hours. The better-than-expected US employment data released on Friday has caused traders to delay their expectations of a Fed rate cut. This sentiment has put pressure on non-yielding assets like Silver.

According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), May's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 272,000, up from 165,000 in April. The stronger employment data has attracted buyers to the US Dollar (USD), which has dampened the demand for Silver by making the commodity more expensive for buyer countries using other currencies.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, continues to rise due to higher US Treasury yields. The DXY extends gains to near 105.20 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.88% and 4.44%, respectively, at the time of writing.

A strong US jobs report could cause the Federal Reserve to keep higher rates for an extended period. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a Fed rate cut of at least 25 basis points in September has decreased to nearly 48.0%, down from 54.8% a week ago.

However, Rabobank suggested in its report that the Fed may cut rates in September and December, more likely because of a deteriorating economy. This is because they think that the US economy is entering a stagflationary phase with persistent inflation and an economic slowdown that is likely to end in a mild recession later this year.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 29.57
Today Daily Change 0.40
Today Daily Change % 1.37
Today daily open 29.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 30.54
Daily SMA50 28.68
Daily SMA100 26.06
Daily SMA200 24.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 31.55
Previous Daily Low 29.12
Previous Weekly High 31.55
Previous Weekly Low 29.12
Previous Monthly High 32.51
Previous Monthly Low 26.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 30.05
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 30.62
Daily Pivot Point S1 28.34
Daily Pivot Point S2 27.52
Daily Pivot Point S3 25.91
Daily Pivot Point R1 30.77
Daily Pivot Point R2 32.38
Daily Pivot Point R3 33.21

 

 

Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY) declined to -15.8% in April from previous 1%

Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY) declined to -15.8% in April from previous 1%
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FX option expiries for June 10 NY cut

FX option expiries for June 10 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0685 1.1b 1.0760 570m 1.0775 1.1b 1.0800 961m 1.0850 834m 1.0875 580m 1.0900 1.7b - USD/JPY: USD amounts 155.95 540m 156.15 405m - USD/CHF: USD amounts 0.8900 529m 0.9000 600m 0.9080 583m - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.6590 728m 0.6600 904m - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.3625 720m 1.3680 639m 1.3750 610m 1.3880 695m .
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